Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 177.627901 194.345620 211.415052 230.117390 250.002466 270.484082 293.144640
2024-12-15 149.947778 174.905461 201.544693 231.968208 265.623133 301.588218 342.799908
2024-12-22 129.206759 160.070926 194.396021 235.085329 281.681478 333.061350 393.677257
2024-12-29 115.533413 151.268013 192.512357 243.032623 302.630892 370.098876 451.625428
2025-01-05 103.286690 142.537005 189.443070 248.647227 320.371493 403.463161 505.967495
2025-01-12 90.289925 131.345255 182.123899 248.097992 330.059084 427.069264 549.031141
2025-01-19 79.382286 121.542211 175.431118 247.369328 338.827964 449.198963 590.319314
2025-01-26 73.757236 118.009092 176.172899 255.587564 358.476783 484.598830 648.041698
2025-02-02 68.309644 114.092270 175.911089 262.139183 375.845114 517.252588 702.769712
2025-02-09 63.789201 110.973535 176.314183 269.267778 393.825497 550.752045 758.895810
2025-02-16 59.530860 107.784974 176.262207 275.525645 410.564478 582.766864 813.496111
2025-02-23 51.542172 98.210451 166.515219 267.864450 408.315426 590.062036 836.555391
2025-03-02 45.457821 91.104205 159.956456 264.422656 411.740109 604.991377 870.043258
2025-03-09 41.419104 86.896136 157.364778 266.398657 422.498302 629.679833 916.559625
2025-03-16 38.124556 83.594423 155.882627 269.805384 435.203100 657.094999 967.024100
2025-03-23 36.348278 82.725257 158.050574 278.567009 455.542243 695.032970 1031.882247
2025-03-30 34.164518 80.905113 158.553386 284.755022 472.266851 728.275732 1090.918916
2025-04-06 30.817748 76.597332 154.742099 284.140329 479.066744 747.957854 1131.982790
2025-04-13 27.771719 72.507743 150.979080 283.330950 485.402823 766.945891 1172.219062
2025-04-20 26.725772 72.217537 153.528922 292.400670 506.357234 806.458420 1240.718449
2025-04-27 25.444273 71.312615 154.934395 299.626196 524.644206 842.432583 1304.758761
2025-05-04 24.359506 70.692009 156.751158 307.483534 543.934887 879.986425 1371.292131
2025-05-11 23.200057 69.788643 157.987386 314.376997 561.841552 915.766728 1435.735570